sigma7: Sims (gak)
([personal profile] sigma7 Jan. 3rd, 2008 08:09 pm)
Huckabee wins -- not altogether surprising, but by a suitably intimidating margin. This redraws the Republican battle lines significantly. Thompson doing surprisingly, too. Democrats clustered, as expected in the Edwards/Clinton/Obama troika; I imagine Obama to pick up the anybody-but-Hillary vote after Iowa and has the most to gain from the loss of competition outside the unholy trinity.

I'm just glad something's frickin' happening after months of empty meaningless blathering. Give me the empty meaningless happenings.
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From: [identity profile] bedsitter23.livejournal.com


Thompson, Rudy, and McCain all pretty much skipped Iowa, but Thompson did at least show here a few times and air a few more commercials.

I imagine Barack takes a win by 6-7% over Hillary as they are now predicting. With Iowa's "second vote" for the "nonviable" candidates, those Dodd and Biden voters are going to Obama.

From: [identity profile] sigma7.livejournal.com


I figured there would be some shift of support from second-tier candidates toward Obama, but I grossly underestimates. My earlier predictions on MightyGodKing.com:

Obama 32
Edwards 30
Clinton 28
Miscellaneous 10

Huckabee 24
Romney 22
McCain 20
Guiliani 15
Paul 13
Thompson 6

I missed the totals by county miles, and I severely (mis-)underestimated Thompson....

Hillary's got to take this as a shot to the teeth, and I'd put Mitt on Suicidde Wattch. If the Huck can keep a fraction of this momentum going into New Hampster, it's going to be...interesting.
.

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